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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| a17367162806 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (292–6, n=298) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$150K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #392 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 63% (165 of 263 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 240 at avg 52¢, ROI +30% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 98% of 107) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 117) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | a17367162806 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $330K | Pacers $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $29K | Pelicans $534 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $17K | Pelicans $732 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $343 | Pacers $284 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $944 | Pistons $649 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $283 | Jazz $20 | — |