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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VivianWard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (11699–12467, n=24166) | 45% (501–606, n=1107) | 63% (372–218, n=590) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $12.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #144 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #162 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (39 of 63 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 497 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2460) | 11% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 91% of 35) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5332) | 34% (won 98% of 169) | 55% (won 99% of 209) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8653) | 34% (won 99% of 170) | 34% (won 100% of 127) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7357) | 21% (won 100% of 105) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VivianWard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage opposite sides · consensus Nemiga | — | DENDELE CS $324 | — | Nemiga $28K |
| Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nemiga | — | DENDELE CS $303 | — | Nemiga $8.0K |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs same side · consensus BIG | — | magic $625 | — | magic $12K |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner same side · consensus Nemiga | — | Nemiga $12K | — | Nemiga $615 |