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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| RN1 | sainttroplay | WagerWizard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (14225–15839, n=30064) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 96% (13210–570, n=13780) |
| Consensus PnL | $14.8M | $4.4M | $105K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #819 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (39 of 68 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 6775 at avg 82¢, ROI +14% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 4% (won 73% of 240) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 9% (won 91% of 624) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 11% (won 97% of 755) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 76% (won 100% of 5156) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | sainttroplay | WagerWizard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.3K | — | Yes $11 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.8K | — | Over $128 |