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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)95% (13510–642, n=14152)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #938
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)61% (19 of 31 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6828, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 6828 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)4% (won 72% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)9% (won 91% of 624)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)11% (won 97% of 758)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)76% (won 100% of 5207)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.