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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00RN1sainttroplayWagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)71% (10–4, n=14)96% (13352–599, n=13951)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$14.8M$4.4M$105K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #804
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (37 of 74 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6775, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 6775 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 57% of 2606)0%4% (won 73% of 240)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)9% (won 91% of 624)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 97% of 755)
Entries 70¢ and up0%32% (won 100% of 8345)0%76% (won 100% of 5156)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00RN1sainttroplayWagerWizard
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $46—Yes $275
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $139—Over $3
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $19—No $25
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4—Yes $37