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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1S-Worksthirdt1me
Record (consensus markets)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)no settled market
Consensus PnL$14.8M$3.7M—
Tracked asPM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #72was PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensus66% (21 of 32 open)67% (2 of 3 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)—
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1S-Worksthirdt1me
Texas State vs. Oregon State
opposite sides · consensus Texas State
Texas State $9.8K—Oregon State $62
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $52K—Texas Tech $71