← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | S-Works | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) | 94% (150–9, n=159) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $14.9M | $3.6M | $21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #66 | was PM monthly #942 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (10 of 20 open) | 50% (21 of 42 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 5% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 11% (won 100% of 14) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 23% (won 100% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 61% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | S-Works | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Billy Harris $6.2K | — | Liam Broady $302 |
| Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko same side · consensus Polona Hercog | — | Polona Hercog $7.4K | — | Polona Hercog $321 |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted same side · consensus Lui Maxted | — | Lui Maxted $3.9K | — | Lui Maxted $2.7K |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain same side · consensus Lucas Poullain | — | Calvin Hemery $35 | — | Calvin Hemery $206 |
| Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli | — | Juan Sebastian Gomez $11 | — | Juan Sebastian Gomez $17 |