← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | RN1 | S-Works | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $14.8M | $3.7M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #72 | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | RN1 | S-Works | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State vs. Oregon State opposite sides · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $9.7K | — | Oregon State $50 |
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | Texas Tech $54K | — | Texas Tech $81 |