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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $14.8M | $3.7M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #93 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #73 | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State vs. Oregon State opposite sides · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $10K | — | Oregon State $23 |
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | Texas Tech $55K | — | Texas Tech $77 |