PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LudotryasskaCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (379–230, n=609)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13392–13543, n=26935)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #891PM monthly #137was PM monthly #373PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (34 of 51 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won90% of 49 at avg 74¢, ROI +14%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 91% of 35)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 25% of 4)56% (won 99% of 214)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 94% of 16)34% (won 100% of 129)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 97% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLudotryasskaCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Team Spirit
OG $863——Team Spirit $237
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
—Natus Vincere $34K—Natus Vincere $156K
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
Natus Vincere $2.3K——Natus Vincere $27K