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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| JudgeLance | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (31–16, n=47) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | -$40K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #490 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 54% (41 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −16 pts, n=13 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 66 at avg 60¢, ROI −1% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 70% (won 52% of 46) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 87% of 15) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JudgeLance | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $434 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $888 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.4K |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | Over $231 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $640 | Over $1.1K |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $698 | Under $728 |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $242 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $510 | Jaguars $180 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | Southern Miss $47 | Southern Miss $498 |