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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | JudgeLance | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 66% (31–16, n=47) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$40K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #493 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (27 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 55% (39 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −16 pts, n=13 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 66 at avg 60¢, ROI −1% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 70% (won 52% of 46) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 23% (won 87% of 15) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | JudgeLance | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | — | Jaguars $5.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | — | Jaguars $1.2K |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $245 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.8K | Over $227 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $698 | Under $419 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $599 | Over $413 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | — | Ravens $1.1K |