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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18xutuu
Record (consensus markets)54% (424–365, n=789)48% (483–517, n=1000)63% (48–28, n=76)83% (20–4, n=24)
Consensus PnL$376K$455K$1.0M$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #897
Sides with the consensus69% (79 of 115 open)53% (10 of 19 open)60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)3% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)33% (won 100% of 13)—
Entries 50–70¢59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)44% (won 100% of 17)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)21% (won 100% of 8)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18xutuu
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
Kraken $46Hurricanes $33K——
Houston vs. Colorado
opposite sides · consensus Colorado
Colorado $257Houston $5.7K——
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.5KOver $3.4K——
Spread: Houston (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $786Houston $2——
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $938Colorado $3.6K——
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $3.5KColorado $871——