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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HomeRunHazard | hortikkk | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (590–548, n=1138) | 67% (6–3, n=9) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $400K | $526 | $475K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #883 | PM monthly #59 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (48 of 74 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 6) | — | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 100) | — | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 189) | — | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 22) | — | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | hortikkk | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | — | Lions $27K |
| Patriots vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | Patriots $4.2K | — | Lions $9.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Titans $5.8K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $7.9K | — | Vikings $8.3K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $6.8K | — | Vikings $5.8K |