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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GC-Pndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)81% (5708–1330, n=7038)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)
Consensus PnL$150K$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #600PM monthly #97PM monthly #47PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (77 of 113 open)71% (58 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 4441 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 99% of 262)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 919)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 983)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 2277)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGC-Pndb1primmRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $585——No $2.6K
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $123——No $393
Cincinnati vs. Houston: O/U 61.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $171—Under $88—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $11K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.2K——No $5.4K