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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ForaPT26primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #987PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (18 of 25 open)60% (128 of 215 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 36¢, ROI +35%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢0%49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketForaPT26primmRN1
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $7.5KCentral Michigan $587
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $2.0KCentral Michigan $4.9K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.9KUMass $358
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.1KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $996Sacramento State $524
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589Sacramento State $842
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $228
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $277Sacramento State $466
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $188Central Michigan $33
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $4.1KBall State $850
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $198
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $490
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $948Toledo $785
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $266Toledo $434