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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpnehcnehcprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)61% (4136–2662, n=6798)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$719K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #704PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus70% (297 of 423 open)63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Politics −7 pts, n=125—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 18% of 93)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)26% (won 44% of 2311)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)40% (won 55% of 3625)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 87% of 3019)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpnehcnehcprimm
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $185Heat $2.6K—