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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)46% (269–316, n=585)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$3.6M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #103PM monthly #47was PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensus72% (82 of 114 open)70% (62 of 88 open)no open consensus position71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%46% of 540 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)41% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)17% (won 34% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)13% (won 78% of 72)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)29% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmvtcchampion52
Games Total: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4—Under $1.5K