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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | Shady-Tool | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6403–5995, n=12398) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) | 85% (335–58, n=393) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $4.8M | $14.8M | -$23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #436 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (211 of 283 open) | 73% (54 of 74 open) | 58% (67 of 115 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | Soccer −17 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 404 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 4% (won 22% of 18) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 7% (won 56% of 27) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 4% (won 53% of 15) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 85% (won 93% of 344) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | Shady-Tool |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Will Racing Club win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.0K | — | Yes $96 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.7K | — | No $877 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Will CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | Yes $318 | — |
| Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | No $4 | — |
| AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | — | Over $43 | — |
| Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $982 | — | Over $28 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $529 | — |
| Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $847 | — | Under $1 | — |
| Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $661 | — | Yes $163 | — |
| US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | — | Over $727 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $211 | — | No $436 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu opposite sides · consensus Malaika Rapolu | Malaika Rapolu $94 | — | Sofia Johnson $521 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta | Facundo Acosta $558 | — | Marco Cecchinato $9 | — |
| Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $430 | — | No $78 | — |
| Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $353 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $144 | — | Under $5 | — |
| Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $62 | — | Over $82 | — |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $97 | — | Over $13 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | — | No $12 | — |
| Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | No $15 | — |
| Will AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $19 | — | No $4 | — |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | Yes $16K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7.5K | — | Over $7.8K | — |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | No $13K | — |
| Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $4.2K | — | No $9.4K | — |
| Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | Over $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Everton FC | Everton FC $7.2K | — | Everton FC $2.2K | — |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.0K | — | Under $161 | — |
| Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | No $3.0K | — |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $180 | — | No $3.0K | — |
| Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $928 | — | Over $1.6K | — |
| FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | — | Under $2 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $219 | — |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $152 | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | — | Yes $419 | — |
| Exact Score: Hammarby IF 0 - 1 IF Elfsborg? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | No $124 | — |
| Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $3 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | Yes $701 | — | Yes $231 | — |