Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2024–808, n=2832)48% (483–517, n=1000)63% (48–28, n=76)33% (1–2, n=3)
Consensus PnL$386K$455K$1.0M-$5.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #21PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #463
Sides with the consensus66% (99 of 151 open)65% (11 of 17 open)60% (6 of 10 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)3% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)33% (won 100% of 13)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)44% (won 100% of 17)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)21% (won 100% of 8)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18VirIntrepidus
Albirex Niigata vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5KUnder $3.8K——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.1KMertens/Zhang $9.3K——
W50 Yokohama: Chia Yi Tsao vs Kyoka Okamura
same side · consensus Kyoka Okamura
Kyoka Okamura $924Kyoka Okamura $307——
LG Sakers vs. Mobis Phoebus
same side · consensus LG Sakers
LG Sakers $740LG Sakers $55——
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $15Over $237——