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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjuice-fruitNagastaBagambiRN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (427–151, n=578)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market69% (307–141, n=448)
Consensus PnL$53K$152K—-$44K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #28—PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (72 of 108 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (2 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)2% (won 100% of 1)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)25% (won 100% of 12)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)44% (won 100% of 21)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)29% (won 100% of 14)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjuice-fruitNagastaBagambiRN1
Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
Benjamin Pietri $535——Adrian Andreev $35
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Rincon
Daniel Rincon $466——Santiago De La Fuente $32
Monastir: John Echeverria vs Aziz Ouakaa
same side · consensus John Echeverria
Aziz Ouakaa $162——Aziz Ouakaa $1.0K
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues Herbert $56——Pierre-Hugues Herbert $706
Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Daniel Altmaier
Adrien Gobat $22——Adrien Gobat $92