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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$3.6M$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #47PM monthly #204
Sides with the consensus68% (171 of 253 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)83% (33 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto ±0 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%76% of 340 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)69% (won 91% of 234)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K—