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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)60% (135–90, n=225)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$4.8M$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #844
Sides with the consensus72% (310 of 430 open)no open consensus position71% (59 of 83 open)33% (2 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1SilentShark
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K——Woking FC $690
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $34K—Under $31K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
Hull City AFC $5.2K—Hull City AFC $2.9K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578—Under $6.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $613——Under $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $272——Yes $9