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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpISMS2222primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)36% (25–44, n=69)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$165K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #647PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (78 of 112 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −15 pts, n=16——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%44% of 55 at avg 41¢, ROI +7%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)38% (won 33% of 21)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)24% (won 15% of 13)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)29% (won 63% of 16)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)9% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpISMS2222primmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440——Warriors $143
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $16K——SE Palmeiras $8.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $3.4K——Bianca Andreescu $5.8K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $3.6K——Federico Coria $5.5K
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K——Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $138——Yes $192
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8——Under $316
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $192——Warriors $108
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42