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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (240–149, n=389) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 47% (1389–1566, n=2955) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $197K | -$9.5M | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #210 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (19 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 283 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 50% of 28) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 97% of 155) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda opposite sides · consensus Renta Tokuda | — | Keisuke Saitoh $31K | — | Renta Tokuda $7.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $71K | — | Coco Gauff $56K |
| Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Blake Ellis same side · consensus Bernard Tomic | — | Bernard Tomic $2.4K | — | Bernard Tomic $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |