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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (240–149, n=389) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $197K | -$9.5M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #209 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 73% (76 of 104 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 283 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 50% of 28) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 97% of 155) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | — | Alafia Ayeni $234 | — | Edward Winter $5.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $34K | — | Janice Tjen $58K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |