Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ExoticApple12Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)50% (1158–1179, n=2337)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$198K$3.7M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #398PM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)66% (188 of 283 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=261, ROI +49%
  • NHL +47 pts n=147, ROI +44%
  • Soccer +45 pts n=267, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won98% of 1175 at avg 52¢, ROI +44%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 93% of 40)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 98% of 403)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 98% of 647)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 85)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketExoticApple12Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K