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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekeljoseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)32% (400–859, n=1259)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$133K$5.3M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #374PM monthly #2PM monthly #97PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (21 of 31 open)no open consensus position72% (59 of 82 open)55% (22 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +18 pts n=106, ROI −11%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=278, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=19—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won77% of 624 at avg 65¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 18% of 143)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 77% of 35)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 88% of 94)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 352)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekeljoseph00677ndb1RN1
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4—Yes $16—
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $192—No $173—