Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273fantasy7788FlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)55% (23–19, n=42)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$881K$533K$530K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #18PM monthly #9PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position47% (109 of 234 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612—
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 6% of 540)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%61% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 322)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)30% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 152)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 319)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273fantasy7788FlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $87Chiefs $7.8K
CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27K—Yes $3.8K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $397Vikings $8.5K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $15Cowboys $275