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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DanielsDixonfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)36% (4–7, n=11)55% (12–10, n=22)54% (361–305, n=666)
Consensus PnL-$765$576K$444K
Tracked asPM monthly #884PM monthly #34PM monthly #6
Sides with the consensus62% (8 of 13 open)no open consensus position77% (123 of 160 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 1)45% (won 100% of 5)32% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢88% (won 100% of 7)36% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanielsDixonfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Jaguars vs. Titans
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $840—Jaguars $13K
Patriots vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Patriots $410—Patriots $4.1K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $650—Colts $1.1K
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $520—Bulls $450