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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfprimmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #969PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)63% (5 of 8 open)59% (29 of 49 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfprimmRN1S-Works
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $605Over $4.4K—
Bengals vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Bengals
—Bengals $36KBengals $5.3K—
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
—Falcons $7.9KFalcons $1.6K—