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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Crypto-JoeprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (90–48, n=138)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$5.6K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #884PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (7 of 8 open)75% (18 of 24 open)59% (124 of 211 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −17 pts, n=19——
Settled positions, side won72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 18% of 11)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 47% of 19)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 81% of 26)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 93% of 41)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCrypto-JoeprimmRN1
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $7.5KCentral Michigan $590
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $2.0KCentral Michigan $4.8K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.8KUMass $358
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $996Sacramento State $524
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $228
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $277Sacramento State $466
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $188Central Michigan $33
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $4.1KBall State $850
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $150
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $490
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $948Toledo $625
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $266Toledo $434