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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CharityStripeFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)49% (324–335, n=659)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL-$71K$4.1M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)70% (114 of 164 open)no open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +39 pts n=80, ROI +41%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=57, ROI +26%
  • NBA +31 pts n=105, ROI +20%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won85% of 354 at avg 53¢, ROI +27%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 38% of 8)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 76% of 104)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢61% (won 90% of 217)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 92% of 25)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCharityStripeFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $67—Chiefs $21K
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $168—Lions $14K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $91—Colts $5.1K