← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (129–87, n=216) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$14K | $290K | $152K | $208K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 63% (73 of 116 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $2.0K | Thunder $4.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $151 | Magic $17 | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Rockets $9 | Rockets $31K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $111 | Pelicans $5.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $140 | Thunder $4.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $212 | Thunder $3.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $120 | Warriors $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $72 | Magic $391 | — | — |
| Spread: Jazz (-1.5) same side · consensus Magic | Jazz $61 | Jazz $7 | — | — |