PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CORGIIsainttroplayomnibus-076daabeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)63% (375–222, n=597)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$4.4M$3.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #126was PM monthly #11PM monthly #17was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position49% (18 of 37 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 91% of 35)0%8% (won 58% of 836)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 99% of 209)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 85% of 2140)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 128)50% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 3856)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 7)0%32% (won 99% of 3242)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCORGIIsainttroplayomnibus-076daabeachboy4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
MOUZ $33K—Spirit $28K—
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $12K—Spirit $227—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
TYLOO $3.6K—FURIA $103—
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
Envy $11K—Envy $9—