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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ByteBadger93Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (1113–899, n=2012)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$37K$3.7M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)68% (267 of 392 open)73% (62 of 85 open)71% (12 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +13 pts n=608, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won71% of 620 at avg 57¢, ROI +13%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 90)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 57% of 103)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 80% of 225)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 94% of 202)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketByteBadger93Flaznorpndb1primm
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17KUnder $6.4K—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $4.9K