PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BunnycatRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)82% (88–19, n=107)48% (12566–13543, n=26109)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (519–636, n=1155)
Consensus PnL$13K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #764PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)48% (29 of 61 open)no open consensus position74% (37 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=86, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won96% of 94 at avg 70¢, ROI +26%94% of 24403 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 396 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 532 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 33% of 3)10% (won 56% of 2518)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 71% of 7)22% (won 94% of 5440)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 189)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 30)36% (won 99% of 8828)33% (won 100% of 130)34% (won 99% of 183)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 100% of 54)31% (won 100% of 7617)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBunnycatRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $475—Rockets $44K
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Thunder $267—Rockets $18K
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Cavaliers $121—Bucks $11K