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B1
Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 89% (76–9, n=85) · PM monthly #764 · holds 2 consensus positions
0xb14ac3a7...a2be4254Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$22.3K
Record
76W / 9L
Win Rate
89.0%
of 85 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#256
Source
PM monthly #764
Trades
4
Markets
89
Volume
$206.2K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex $1.4K · now 45¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (PARIVISION)
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $483 · now 44¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
72 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 70¢- Esports
+27 pts
side won 97% of 72 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +30%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 71% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 100% of 24)
- 70¢ and up: 56%(won 100% of 40)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.