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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | twe2nty | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 74% (191–66, n=257) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$9.3K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #46 | was PM monthly #956 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (27 of 36 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 21% (won 4% of 52) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 5% (won 8% of 13) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 4% (won 60% of 10) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 70% (won 96% of 171) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | twe2nty | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $94K | — | Yes $10K | — |