← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | scrapbook | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1106–1119, n=2225) | 53% (156–140, n=296) | 50% (20827–20526, n=41353) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$9.5K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (27 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 67% (41 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Economy −8 pts, n=32 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 38% (won 13% of 127) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 18% (won 48% of 61) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 27% (won 66% of 89) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 16% (won 91% of 54) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | scrapbook | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $90K | — | Yes $105 | — |