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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1waierma
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)75% (80–26, n=106)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #841
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)no open consensus position60% (97 of 163 open)69% (11 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)11% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)7% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)11% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)70% (won 95% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1waierma
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.3KYes $10
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $82Yes $10
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2Yes $10
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $18KYes $10
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.0KYes $10
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.6KYes $10
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $10Yes $10