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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | txwd9991 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 46% (142–166, n=308) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #986 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 50% (9 of 18 open) | 57% (46 of 81 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 96% of 144 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 63% (won 95% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 36% (won 98% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | txwd9991 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | Ravens $510 | Jaguars $180 | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $8.2K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.0K | Over $1.4K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $616 | — |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $890 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $741 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $102 | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | Over $244 | — |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $226 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $520 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-13.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $765 | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | Over $65 | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-16.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $94 | Ravens $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $636 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | Southern Miss $47 | Southern Miss $498 | — |