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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | scrapbook | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 53% (157–141, n=298) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$7.2K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #999 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (26 of 33 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 54% (45 of 83 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Economy −8 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 334 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 38% (won 13% of 127) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 19% (won 48% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 27% (won 66% of 91) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 16% (won 91% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | scrapbook |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.2K | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $7.4K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $1.2K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $245 | — |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | Over $227 | — |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $274 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $698 | Under $419 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $599 | Over $413 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $1.7K | — | Warriors $520 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $1.2K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-16.5) same side · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $450 | James Madison $97 | — |