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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | TMingchan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 63% (15–9, n=24) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $35K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #691 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 75% (12 of 16 open) | 59% (125 of 211 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 13 at avg 49¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 54% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 46% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | TMingchan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.8K | UMass $358 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.4K | Sacramento State $540 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Hawks $678 | Wizards $928 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $996 | Sacramento State $524 | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $762 | UMass $150 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $277 | Sacramento State $466 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.4K | Over $116 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | — | Knicks $349 | Knicks $133 |
| Spread: Ball State (-4.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | Ball State $22 | Ball State $445 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | — | Hawks $128 | — |