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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1pelikRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)65% (888–469, n=1357)99% (4534–14, n=4548)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$4.2M$79K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #146PM monthly #431PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)74% (35 of 47 open)88% (7 of 8 open)66% (137 of 209 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Finance +9 pts n=15, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=20, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 3195 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)0%22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)0% (won 100% of 3)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)100% (won 100% of 3191)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1pelikRN1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642KNo $234K—No $6.5K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K——No $30K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.0KNo $5.3K
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $132
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $238No $622