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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | nehcnehc | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 61% (4136–2662, n=6798) | 50% (15507–15590, n=31097) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | -$719K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #709 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 55% (102 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 1% (won 20% of 92) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 25% (won 44% of 2260) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 40% (won 55% of 3534) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 34% (won 87% of 3004) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.