← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) | 75% (80–26, n=106) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #837 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 58% (78 of 134 open) | 40% (10 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 11% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 7% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 11% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 70% (won 95% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.7K | Yes $10 |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.2K | Yes $10 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $315 | Yes $11 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $18 | Yes $10 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $993K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $11K | Yes $10 |