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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (993–578, n=1571)65% (4228–2241, n=6469)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$4.8M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #98was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus80% (28 of 35 open)72% (55 of 76 open)56% (122 of 217 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 186)4% (won 100% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)19% (won 39% of 267)13% (won 100% of 156)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)23% (won 58% of 326)26% (won 100% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 619)58% (won 100% of 703)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1Pan9X
Raptors vs. Bucks
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $510K—Bucks $30
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $148K—Thunder $55
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $450—Bucks $37
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Jazz $422—Mavericks $18
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Timberwolves $167—Pelicans $14
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Raptors $122—Bucks $14
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $14—Mavericks $17
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $337K—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Grizzlies $14K—Grizzlies $15
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $367—Timberwolves $9
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $50—Grizzlies $13