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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | morito181 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 70% (709–303, n=1012) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $1.1M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #112 + pinned | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 80% (141 of 176 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (32 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | morito181 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $94K | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $79K | No $191 | — | — |