← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | locuspm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 17% (612–2921, n=3533) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$1.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #864 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (76 of 128 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL ±0 pts, n=70 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 87% (won 1% of 876) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 0% (won 40% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 1% (won 67% of 9) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 11% (won 98% of 113) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | locuspm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | — | Thunder $115 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $769 | — | Raptors $39 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $396 | — | Jazz $8 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $214 | — | Raptors $176 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | — | Grizzlies $154 |